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ADUR // NASDAQ + TSX // WATER-BASED CHEMICAL RECYCLING
THEVALUETRADER RESEARCH
DEEP DIVE — JUL 2026
REF: Q3 FY26 RECAP

Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.

London, Ontario chemical recycling company — dual-listed Nasdaq/TSX, founded 2018
Last Close · Jul 1, 2026
$15.94
▼ 12.4% off 52W high ($18.19)
52-WEEK RANGE $8.68 – $18.19 · UP ~84% FROM 52W LOW
A pre-revenue chemistry company whose entire multi-hundred-million valuation rests on a 10kg/hour pilot plant and a growing stack of non-binding partnership MOUs.
MARKET CAP~$540M
CASH (AS OF FEB 28, 2026)C$39.4M
Q3 FY26 REVENUEC$0
YTD FY26 NET LOSS (9-MO)C$14.4M
12-MONTH PRICE MOVE+~84% off 52W low
ANALYST CONSENSUSStrong Buy (~$30 PT)
φ 01
What Aduro Actually Does

Aduro's Hydrochemolytic™ Technology (HCT) is a water-based chemistry platform that runs at relatively low temperature and pressure to break down three kinds of low-value feedstock: mixed, contaminated plastic waste unsuitable for ordinary mechanical recycling; heavy bitumen and crude oil, upgraded into lighter, more valuable oil; and renewable oils, upgraded into higher-value fuels or chemicals. Founded in 2018 by Ofer Vicus and William Marcus Trygstad and based in London, Ontario, Aduro is dual-listed on Nasdaq (ADUR) and, since May 2026, the senior board of the Toronto Stock Exchange (ACT) — an upgrade from Canada's smaller CSE.

The company is still pre-commercial. Its "Next Generation Process" (NGP) pilot plant in London, Ontario began running continuously in an industrial configuration at 10kg/hour in early 2026. The next step up is a "first-of-a-kind" (FOAK) demonstration-scale industrial plant, with a site now selected at Chemelot Industrial Park in the Netherlands. Longer term, management's stated go-to-market strategy is shifting toward a capital-light licensing model — licensing HCT to industrial partners rather than building and owning every future plant itself.

φ 02
Why $ADUR Is Suddenly Everywhere
φ 03
Q3 FY2026 Scorecard — quarter ended Feb 28, 2026, in CAD
MetricQ3 FY25Q3 FY26Change
Revenue$63,399$0-100%
Loss from Operations-$2.85M-$1.63MLOSS NARROWED -43%
Adj. EBITDA (non-IFRS)-$1.84M-$2.77M+51% WORSE
Cash Position$39.42M+467% vs Q4 FY25
Pilot Plant PP&E$9.6MSCALE-UP CAPEX

The occasional small revenue line is non-recurring — fees from customer evaluation projects, not product sales. Adjusted EBITDA actually widened in Q3 even as the reported operating loss narrowed, mainly because prior-year figures benefited from a smaller cost base before the Nasdaq listing, additional hires and scale-up spending. Cash jumped almost 5x on the December 2025 public offering and its January 2026 over-allotment exercise. Source: Aduro Clean Technologies Q3 FY2026 results, filed with the SEC as Form 6-K, April 15, 2026.

φ 04
Own-and-Build vs. License-and-Partner
Own & Operate
The Physical Build-Out
NGP Pilot Plant, Ontario10kg/hr, operational
FOAK Plant, Chemelot NLsite selected, permitting
Permitting partnerEbert HERA
Funded byJun 2026 raise
License & Partner
The Capital-Light Path
Global EPC frameworkMOU, Mar 2026
Ortessa (Netherlands)feedstock MOU, Jun 2026
AstroTurf (US)evaluation MOU, Jun 2026
Binding revenue contractsnone yet
"This MOU is an important step in the commercialisation roadmap for Hydrochemolytic Technology."
φ 05
Balance Sheet & Capital Structure — amounts in CAD unless noted
Balance Sheet — Feb 28, 2026
Where Things Stood
Cash$39.4M (was $7.0M)
Pilot plant PP&E$9.6M
9-month net loss-$14.4M
Fiscal year-endMay 31
Since Quarter-End (USD)
What's Been Added
Public offering (Jun 11)US$15.64M gross
Concurrent LIFE placementup to US$7.17M
Combined raise sizeup to US$22.8M
TSX uplistingapproved May 26

Unlike a leveraged infrastructure buildout, Aduro's capital story is almost entirely equity-funded — four public raises since late 2024, each priced above the last, with no meaningful debt on the balance sheet. Pro forma for the June round, cash likely sits somewhere north of C$60M against a quarterly adjusted EBITDA burn that's been running C$2–3M — a comfortable multi-year runway for the pilot and permitting phase specifically.

What isn't disclosed yet is the total cost of actually building the FOAK industrial plant at Chemelot. A 10kg/hour pilot proves the chemistry works; the FOAK plant is the step that tests whether it works at a cost and scale that makes commercial or licensing economics real. That bill hasn't been presented to shareholders yet.

φ 06
Partnership & MOU Manifest
CounterpartyTypeStatusSigned
Global EPC partnerLicensing frameworkNon-binding MOUMar 2026
Ortessa Groep BVFeedstock logisticsNon-binding MOUJun 2026
AstroTurf CorporationTurf recycling eval.Non-binding MOUJun 2026
Ebert HERAFOAK permittingSigned services contractApr 2026
Canaccord GenuityCapital marketsSole bookrunnerJun 2026
φ 07
Fault Line to Watch
Zero Revenue + MOU-Only Pipeline + Heavy Dilution

Every partnership announced so far — the EPC licensing framework, Ortessa, AstroTurf — is explicitly a non-binding evaluation MOU, not a signed commercial or revenue contract; Aduro says so plainly in each release. Quarterly revenue was literally zero in the most recent quarter. The company has funded itself almost entirely through four dilutive equity raises in under two years, which has worked so far but depends on the share price staying elevated. And the FOAK plant at Chemelot — the step that would turn a 10kg/hour pilot into something commercially relevant — hasn't been built yet, doesn't have disclosed total costs, and doesn't have a firm completion date.

φ 08
Load-Bearing vs. Fault Lines
Load-Bearing
A real technical milestone reached.The NGP pilot plant runs continuously in an industrial configuration, not just on a lab bench — a genuine de-risking step most pre-revenue clean-tech names never get to.
Clean balance sheet for this stage.~C$39.4M of cash (before the June raise) against a C$2–3M quarterly burn is a multi-year runway for the pilot and permitting phase.
Licensing model lowers future capital needs.If the EPC framework converts into a real licensing business, Aduro wouldn't need to fund every future plant itself — a meaningfully lighter capital profile than owning every site.
Site selection de-risks the next step.Chemelot is an established Dutch petrochemical cluster with existing infrastructure and permitting pathways, not a greenfield location.
Rising raise prices signal growing demand.Each of the four capital raises since 2024 priced above the last, and the TSX uplisting widens the pool of funds able to hold the stock.
Fault Lines
Zero revenue, full stop.Quarterly revenue was nil in the most recent quarter — every valuation argument here is about future potential, not current cash flow.
Every partnership is a non-binding MOU.The EPC, Ortessa and AstroTurf deals include no revenue terms, volumes or pricing; each explicitly requires separate definitive agreements to mean anything commercially.
Funded almost entirely by dilution.Four equity raises in under two years, with more likely needed once actual FOAK plant construction costs are disclosed.
The real test hasn't happened yet.A 10kg/hour pilot proves chemistry, not industrial-scale economics — the FOAK plant is where both the technology and the balance sheet get tested for real.
Thin analyst coverage behind a big target.A "Strong Buy" resting on just 3 analysts, on a stock already up ~84% from its 52-week low, leaves little room for a scale-up misstep.
φ 09
Where Consensus Sits
Analyst Consensus
Strong Buy
Avg Price Target
~$30
Q3 FY26 Revenue
C$0
Cash Runway
Multi-Year (Pre-FOAK)